Crypto Prices to Explode
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Experts
Predict Crypto Prices to Explode to All Time Highs if This Happens
Prices of major cryptoassets could explode higher if US economic
data this week indicates that the Federal Reserve could soon be done with their
interest rate hikes.
After a strong week for bitcoin (BTC) and many other cryptos last week, traders are now looking for any clues of what could fuel the next leg higher. And with a massive release of important US economic data expected this Wednesday, the positive trigger traders are looking for could come sooner rather than later.
Most important of the data expected on Wednesday will be the
Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures the change in prices paid to
producers of goods in the US. It differs from the better-known Consumer Price
Index (CPI), which is the change in prices paid by consumers, but still gives a
good indication of what is happening with inflation.
The number is expected to come in at -0.1, and any reading lower
than that could fuel an explosive rally for bitcoin and the broader crypto
market.
Earlier this month, the CPI release for December showed that US inflation had
fallen to 6.5% annually, down from 7.1% in November. The next
CPI release in the US is expected on February 14.
“High
inflation is transitory”
Among those who have already predicted a return to lower
inflation is the popular crypto trader and economist Alex Krüger.
Writing on Twitter on Sunday, Krüger reminded his followers that
the currently high inflation level is “transitory,” and that inflation will
trend lower over the long-term due to technology and an ageing population.
“It should be crystal clear bots will make wage inflation
evaporate,” he said.
Lower inflation is the main factor the Fed is looking for before
it will stop its current rate hikes, and eventually return to cutting rates. It
is believed that lower interest rates will benefit crypto and virtually all
other risk assets.
For instance, the well-known crypto bull and former investment
banker Mike Novogratz said last year that he
believes bitcoin is “going to the moon” once the
Fed pauses its rate hikes.
A
strong week ahead
The massive release of economic data on Wednesday happens during
a week which is already expected to be strong for crypto by
several analysts and commentators.
With BTC establishing itself north of the $20,000 mark, and ETH trading above $1,500, popular influencers such as Ivan on Tech declared that “bitcoin FOMO starts now,” while the pseudonymous on-chain analyst PlanB has said “$15.5k was the bottom” for bitcoin.
Other
data
While the PPI is perhaps the best indicator for where inflation
is going, the change in retail sales expected on Wednesday will also give an
indication of how the economy is doing. The number is expected to come in at
-0.8%, down further from -0.6% a month earlier.
Just like weakening inflation, a weakening economy is believed
to be something the Fed wants to see before it stops its rate hikes – and
potentially allows crypto prices to soar.
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